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Forecast and Analysis of the North American Automotive Industry: Delphi X (Technology, Materials, and Marketing Volumes: August 2001)

Technology Volume
1. Strategic Planning Factors ( click to download PDF)
Question Topic
TECH-1 Gasoline price forcast
TECH-2 CAFE standards, regulatory forecast for light-duty vehicles
TECH-3 CAFE standards, reasonable expectations for light-duty vehicles
TECH-4 Fuel economy improvements, source of improvements
TECH-6 Alternate energy sources or power plants, passenger car and light-truck prodcution
TECH-7 Electric vehicle battery type
TECH-8 Combustion engines in hybrid electric/combustion engine vehicles
TECH-9 Electric-drivetrain cost vs. gasoline engine automatic transmission vehicles
TECH-10 Greatest challenges of developing hybrid powertrains
TECH-11 Electric motor voltage in electric and hybrid vehicles
TECH-12 Federal legislation activity, ten-year trend
 
2. Engineering and Sourcing Issues ( click to download PDF)
Question Topic
TECH-15 Product design and engineering, traditional domestic-vehicle manufacturers in North America versus offshore
TECH-16 Worldwide sourcing of North American product operations
TECH-17 North American sourcing within North America
TECH-18 Outsourcing of components and subsystems/modules by first-tier suppliers
TECH-19 Product-development cycle timing
TECH-20 Product-and-process technology leadership
TECH-21 Percentage-engineering using computer-based-tools (CAE)
TECH-22 Impact of math-based engineering on cost and timing in product development
TECH-23 Source of reduction in product-development time
TECH-24 Prototypes reduction
 
3. Powertrain and Drivetrain ( click to download PDF)
Question Topic
TECH-38 Engines, number of cylinders, passenger cars and light trucks
TECH-40 Valves per cylinder for passenger car engines
TECH-41 Valvetrain configurations for passenger car engines
TECH-42 Engine technical-features penetration
TECH-43 Engines, percentage undergoing major redesign
TECH-44 Fuel management-systems penetration, passenger cars and light trucks
TECH-45 Turbocharging/supercharging penetration, passenger cars
TECH-46 Ignition systems design features, passenger cars and light trucks
TECH-47 Aluminum-cylinder-head-and-block material penetration, passenger car and light truck
TECH-48 Lean-burn-engine penetration, passenger cars
TECH-49a New hardware/technology required for tier 2 emission standards
TECH-49b Total cost of hardware/technology needed to meet tier 2 emission standards
TECH-49c Percentage vehicle cost attributable to tier 2 standards
TECH-50 Challenges in meeting the proposed tier 2 emission standards
TECH-51 Plastic-engine-component penetration, passenger cars
TECH-52 Transmission configuration, passenger car and light truck
TECH-53 Transmission-features penetration
TECH-54 Drivetrain configurations, passenger cars
 
4. Other Issues ( click to download PDF)
Question Topic
TECH-65 Critical human-resource skills, supply deficiency
 
Materials Volume
5. Strategic Planning Factors ( click to download PDF)
Question Topic
MAT-3 Reformulated gasoline sales
MAT-4 Alternative fuels, federal legislation
MAT-5 Alternative fuels, North American-produced passenger vehicles
MAT-6 Federal regulatory and legislative activity
 
6. Powertrain and Drivetrain ( click to download PDF)
Question Topic
MAT-19 Engine head and engine-block materials
MAT-20 Aluminum engine-block sleeve technology
MAT-21 Aluminum engine-block sleeve materials
MAT-22 Internal engine component materials
MAT-23 Camshafts, materials
MAT-24 Crankshafts, materials
MAT-25 Fuel rails, materials
MAT-26 Front covers, materials
MAT-27 Intake manifolds, materials
MAT-28 Ceramics, engine component applications
MAT-29 Powdered materials, powertrain applications
MAT-30 Engine oil coller, heater cores, radiator, transmission oil coolers, materials
MAT-31 Fuel tank materials, gasoline fueled passenger cars and light trucks
MAT-32 Material selection; transmission gears
MAT-33 Materials selection; transmission rotors
 
Marketing Volume
7. Vehicle Features & Alternative Powered Vehicles ( click to download PDF)
Question Topic
MARK-37 Green Marketing, estimated customer values
MARK-38 Consumer acceptance of alternative powered vehicles, barriers to
MARK-39 Marketing Alternative powered vehicles, distribution, point of sales, warrangy
MARK-40 Marketing alternative powered vehicles, effectiveness by activity


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